The recent correction in the stock market has yet to trigger a clear recession warning for the US economy, based on a model that uses S&P 500 drawdowns. A probit-based model is currently estimating a ...

President Trump's wide-ranging tariffs have sent the stock market tumbling and recession fears soaring. As the dust settles and markets wait for more information on the result of the administration's ...

The U.S. economy faces an “uncomfortably high” 48% probability of slipping into a recession within the next 12 months, according to Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody's Analytics. Zandi shared this ...

The likelihood of a U.S. recession is climbing, according to SA Sentiment data from the most recent three-month period. The trailing indicator polls Seeking Alpha subscribers on the chance of a ...

The US stock market is close to falling 20% from its previous peak, which is considered the trigger for a bear market. The inferred risk of recession has increased lately, but it’s not yet at a level ...

This has been a roller coaster year for the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average, with all three enduring a mini-crash and a rip-roaring rally to new highs. A new ...

Though Wall Street is flush with catalysts, investors may be ignoring the biggest one -- the U.S. economy. A predictive tool used by Federal Reserve Bank of New York paints a potentially troublesome ...

Leading Wall Street firms are updating their forecasts to reflect a rising probability of the U.S. economy entering a recession this year, as fears of a widening trade war could hurt consumers and ...