If the Sahm Rule Recession Indicator holds, Edwards’ warning appears justified. But the rule is not infallible. After earning ...

Recession fears have cooled, but a labor market chart flagged by one bearish strategist might give bullish investors pause.

An economist is warning that the U.S. economy is approaching a recession, pointing to a sharp deterioration in nonfarm ...

Warning lights are starting to blink on the economy's dashboard, and one prominent money expert is telling households to stop ...

Recession talk is back, and the smartest response is to watch the data and quietly fortify your finances before headlines turn into layoffs. I focus on eight closely watched signals that professionals ...

Yield curve inversions have historically preceded recessions, but not all inversions guarantee a downturn; context and economic conditions matter. Watching long-term/short-term yield patterns after an ...

Market bear John Hussman's firm said it's watching six signals in the job market that could indicate a recession. The firm pointed to trends like AI-driven layoffs and job losses in key sectors.

The bond market has priced in interest-rate cuts ahead of the Federal Reserve’s upcoming rate decision — but that’s probably not signaling a recession, according to Vanguard’s Michael Chang, head of ...

WASHINGTON (AP) — The second consecutive quarter of economic growth that the government reported Thursday underscored that the nation isn’t in a recession despite high inflation and the Federal ...

An ominous measure that the Federal Reserve considers a near surefire recession signal again has reared its head in the bond market. The 10-year Treasury yield passed below that of the 3-month note in ...

The bond market hasn’t rung false recession alarms for this long in at least half a century. By Monday, it will be three full years since the market’s movements started suggesting a U.S. downturn was ...